Affordability
To address concerns about the cost of WellFair, we have developed the following provisional budget to show that WellFair certainly is affordable, and will deliver much better value for money than the current welfare system.
Developing Provisional Wellfair Content
We have used the Joseph Roundtree Foundation (JRF) estimates of Minimum Income Standards (MIS) to develop the per head costs of delivering the WellFair services. These costs are based on definitions of “minimum” standards of living, proposed by current UK citizens, and include levels of detail that allow us to determine what would, and would not, be included in the definition of WellFair.
We have enhanced the JRF’s MIS by adding the following:
- Added current UK government spending for housing, NHS, disability care, transport, protection and general government to the MIS numbers.
- Added basic Internet and phone costs, as well integrating the TV License fee in to the Information WellFair service.
- Double the current UK Transport budget, to ensure that local public transport systems can provide free local transport for all.
Items in the JRF MIS that we expect to deliver via UCC are:
- Household items and insurance (£15.80/week)
- Personal items (£10.80/week)
- Clothing (£9.48/week)
Items in JRF MIS budgets that are not included in the WellFair budgets are:
- Culture & recreation (£32.44/week)
- Alcohol (£3.18/week)
These amount to an average weekly budget of £35.62. LIFE expects that local communities and charitable organisations (previously focussed on providing bare necessities) will be able to refocus their efforts on improving the joy of life, and assist with these expenses those without the capacity to earn anything.
The private transport budget (£22.39/week, which was only added to MIS in 2012 due to the chronic demise of the public transport system) will be replaced by LIFE’s plan to double expenditure on public transport, which will revive the energy-efficient, interconnected, public, mass transit infrastructure needed by any modern society.
Per Person WellFair Costs
Including LIFE’s service enhancements, the following table shows the full WellFair cost per person (including weightings for household size, and urban v. rural differences).
WellFair Costing
WellFair Service |
Note |
Weekly |
Monthly |
Annual |
Shelter |
Excl. personal household |
£61 |
£264 |
£3,170 |
Food |
£15 |
£65 |
£780 |
|
Personal & Household |
UCC |
£36 |
£156 |
£1,875 |
Health & Care |
Incl. disability |
£86 |
£373 |
£4,474 |
Education |
£31 |
£136 |
£1,628 |
|
Transport |
Double 2013-14 £s |
£14 |
£61 |
£731 |
Information |
Internet, phone & TV |
£8 |
£34 |
£410 |
Legal Services |
Govt, police & fire |
£15 |
£65 |
£779 |
£266 |
£1,153 |
£13,846 |
UK WellFair Budget
WellFair Service |
Annual (£Bn) |
Shelter |
68 |
Food |
17 |
Personal (UCC) |
40 |
Health & Care |
273 |
Education |
99 |
Transport |
45 |
Information |
25 |
Legal Services |
48 |
Initial WellFair Budget |
614 |
Local Delivery Efficiency (SSHEL) |
-54 |
Labour unit cost reductions |
-61 |
Final WellFair Budget |
498 |
Budgeting assumes that 35% of the population will access the Shelter and Sustenance (Food + Personal) services, and that the remainder will be taken up by 100% of the population.
Two factors are projected to reduce the actual budget by nearly 20%, bringing the actual project spending down to £498Bn:
- Efficiency: 10% greater efficiency and reduced waste in service provision; resulting from locally directed delivery by local resources (efficiency factor not applied to Transport and Information).
- Reduced Labour Costs: 10% total cost savings, from the reduction in labour rates resulting from the introduction of WellFair and its effect on rates for low skill work, which comprises a significant percentage of the labour involved in delivering the WellFair services themselves.
These efficiencies will lag a few years behind increases in spending. The following chart shows WellFair spending over the first 5 years, including an additional £3Bn a year to fund Community and Regional Assemblies and their elections.
WellFair Introduction
WellFair Services (£Bn) |
Current |
New |
2015 |
2016 |
2017 |
2018 |
2019 |
New Spending Introduction |
£Bn |
£Bn |
|||||
Shelter |
53 |
15 |
Inherited |
50% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
Sustenance (Food + UCC) |
0 |
56 |
Inherited |
50% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
Health & Care |
273 |
0 |
Inherited |
Same |
Same |
Same |
Same |
Education |
99 |
0 |
Inherited |
Same |
Same |
Same |
Same |
Transport |
22 |
22 |
Inherited |
50% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
Information |
5 |
20 |
Inherited |
50% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
Legal Services |
48 |
3 |
Inherited |
50% |
100% |
100% |
100% |
Efficiencies Introduction |
£Bn |
||||||
Local WellFair delivery |
-54 |
Inherited |
25% |
50% |
75% |
100% |
|
Labour cost reduction |
-61 |
0% |
10% |
50% |
75% |
100% |
|
Total Spending |
£Bn |
£Bn |
£Bn |
£Bn |
£Bn |
||
Shelter |
53 |
60 |
68 |
68 |
68 |
||
Sustenance (Food + UCC) |
0 |
28 |
57 |
57 |
57 |
||
Health & Care |
273 |
273 |
273 |
273 |
273 |
||
Education |
99 |
99 |
99 |
99 |
99 |
||
Transport |
22 |
33 |
45 |
45 |
45 |
||
Information |
5 |
15 |
25 |
25 |
25 |
||
Legal Services |
48 |
49 |
51 |
51 |
51 |
||
Budget before efficiencies |
500 |
558 |
617 |
617 |
617 |
||
Local WellFair delivery |
0 |
-14 |
-27 |
-41 |
-54 |
||
Labour cost reduction |
0 |
-6 |
-31 |
-46 |
-61 |
||
WellFair Budget (£Bn) |
500 |
538 |
559 |
530 |
501 |
Current Spending
Currently the government spends £500Bn on similar services.
UK Spending (2014 budget)
Central |
Local |
Total |
|
Shelter |
34.1 |
18.5 |
52.6 |
Sustenance |
0.3 |
0 |
0.3 |
Health & Care ** |
216.1 |
56.7 |
272.9 |
Education |
35.7 |
63.6 |
99.3 |
Transport |
13.9 |
8.4 |
22.3 |
Information |
4.7 |
0 |
4.7 |
Legal |
24.9 |
22.7 |
47.5 |
Total WellFair-type Spending |
329.7 |
169.9 |
499.6 |
Non-WellFair Spending |
217.8 |
4.3 |
222 |
547.5 |
174.2 |
721.6 |
** Included in this Health & Care budget line for existing spending are: Sickness and disability, Survivors, Family and children, Social exclusion n.e.c., R&D Social protection, Social protection n.e.c.
It is worth noting that the JRF estimates that current welfare spending only provides 40%-60% of the Minimum Income Standards for working age people, and 80 to 100% of retired people.
Local v Central Spending
As can be seen in the above table, current government spending is weighted 2:1 in favour of central government (i.e. controlled from Westminster).
Because WellFair responsibility will be primarily held by local Communities, the balance of spending will shift in favour of local control. The following table shows the impact on Central v Local distribution by allocating new spending primarily to local Communities and shifting 50% of Health & Care responsibility down to Communities.
Local Impact WellFair Budget (£Bn)
Current Spending |
New Spending |
WellFair Total |
||||
WellFair Service |
Central |
Local |
Central |
Local |
Central |
Local |
Shelter |
34 |
19 |
2 |
13 |
36 |
31 |
Sustenance (incl. UCC) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
56 |
0 |
56 |
Health & Care |
216 |
57 |
0 |
0 |
136 |
136 |
Education |
36 |
64 |
0 |
0 |
36 |
64 |
Transport |
14 |
8 |
0 |
22 |
14 |
31 |
Information |
5 |
0 |
4 |
16 |
9 |
16 |
Legal Services |
25 |
23 |
0 |
3 |
25 |
26 |
Total |
330 |
170 |
6 |
111 |
256 |
360 |
Share |
66% |
34% |
5% |
95% |
42% |
58% |
The WellFair Support Grant (WSG) will be distributed directly to Community Assemblies, which are responsible for actually delivering the services.
Some portions of different budgets will be retained at the national level to cover services that are provided at a national or regional level (equivalent to the current Revenue Support Grant {RSG} “top-slice”). Once Regions have been formed and completed an election cycle, the portion of the WellFair budgets that are associated with services promoted to Regions, will be distributed directly to the Regional Assemblies.
Formulating a Budget for WellFair
After the election, we will follow these steps as the proper budget process for WellFair:
- Determine the minimum standards for each service.
- Collect budget estimates for those services from each Community and Region.
- Sum all of the costs and divide by the number of people = annual per person WellFair Support Grant (WSG).
- Figure out the Income Tax Base and Step-up rates necessary to cover the WellFair costs.
- If the tax rates are acceptable, OK. If tax rates would have to be too high, change the specification of the services (see 1 above).
During the first year we will engage in the above process to make a final determination of the content of the WellFair services and their full cost. The final content of WellFair services will be determined in a review following passage of the Wellfair Reform Act.
4 replies on “WellFair Budget”
LIFE will move £160bn in to local budgets.Commenting on the announcement, Ed Cox from IPPR North said:
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Recently published report by the RSA in cooperation with the LGA suggests that local service delivery tailored by the people who are recipients of the services could yield a 14% saving.LIFE policies assume a 10% savings.report: http://www.thersa.org/action-research-centre/community-and-public-services/2020-public-services/reports/managing-demand-building-future-public-services
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the National Audit Office raises serious concerns about the long term sustainability of current local service funding run by the councils : http://www.theguardian.com/society/2014/nov/19/councils-risk-financial-failure-auditorsCouncils want more control over their finances, but they need to be more democratically accountable before that is a good idea.
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